Assessing the need for social support and designing social leasing as part of the transition to electric vehicles in Europe

The aim of the study is to analyse the need and potential of a social leasing scheme in the five different countries Germany (DE), France (FR), Italy (IT), Spain (ES) and Poland (PL) during the EV transition. The first objective of this study is to identify and quantify the need for social support in the EV transition. As part of the first objective the transport vulnerability structure of the five countries is analysed and the effects of rising fuel prices due to the ETS-2 on different income groups in each of the five countries are estimated (Section 2.1). Additionally, the share of household population in each country that will face difficulties in switching to an EV by 2030 and 2035 due to income constraints is quantified (Section 2.2). Finally, we summarize the need for social support in the EV transition based on four vulnerability criteria (Section 2.3).

The second objective of the study is to collect and analyse suitable design options for social leasing and their impact. As part of the second objective, we analyse different criteria for the set-up of the scheme (Section 3.1). Based on different criteria we quantify the share of population eligible for social leasing (Section 3.2). Based on different cost scenarios we quantify the supply of additional EVs financed by SCF funds (Section 3.3). Additionally, we estimate the emission savings and public costs of a social leasing scheme (Section 3.4) and the impact of social leasing on the electrification of the national car fleets of the five countries using different scenarios (Section 3.5). Finally, we assess the role of social leasing in the five countries (Section 3.6).