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Quantifying the effect of the EU Taxonomy by modelling and an evaluation of scenarios for their EU Taxonomy alignment

The EU Taxonomy in modeling

  • Johannes Eckstein
    Fraunhofer ISI, Karlsruhe
  • Khaled Al-Dabbas
    Fraunhofer ISI, Karlsruhe
  • Abigail Alexander-Haw
    Fraunhofer ISI, Karlsruhe
  • Dr. Gerda Deac
    Fraunhofer ISI, Karlsruhe
  • Vicki Duscha
    Fraunhofer ISI, Karlsruhe
  • Fabio Frank
    Fraunhofer ISI, Karlsruhe

The EU Taxonomy requires large and capital-market-oriented companies to report on the sustainability of their economic activities. How far this redirects capital flows or changes financing conditions remains unclear. This report outlines approaches to model the Taxonomy’s effectiveness, drawing on modelling from the Pathways project (“Pathways to an EU in 2050 with net-zero GHG emissions”). It also assesses how the project’s three scenarios align with the Taxonomy, showing that the more ambitious pathways achieve alignment earlier and more comprehensively.