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A comparison of assumptions and sector results between the EU Impact Assessment 2040 and the UBA Pathways 2050 scenarios

Projected EU emissions in 2040

  • Lukas Emele
    Head of Energy Policy & Scenarios subdivision / Senior Researcher Energy & Climate
  • Khaled Al-Dabbas
    Fraunhofer ISI, Karlsruhe
  • Dr. Gerda Deac
    Fraunhofer ISI, Karlsruhe
  • Vicki Duscha
    Fraunhofer ISI, Karlsruhe
  • Fabio Frank
    Fraunhofer ISI, Karlsruhe

This study analyses EU-wide greenhouse gas reduction scenarios for the year 2040. Four scenarios presented by the European Commission, in its Impact Assessment for the 2040 intermediate climate target, are compared against three scenarios developed in the project titled ‘Pathways to an EU in 2050 with net-zero GHG emissions’. The analysis is performed both from an overall and a sectoral perspective.